IDC CEMA Telecommunications Newsletter

IDC Emerging Markets Telecommunications Newsletter - January 2010
Central and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa

IDC CEMA Telecommunications Newsletter



Feature Story
Mobile Payments in the Developing World:  What Are They Telling Us?

by Andy Hicks, Senior Research Analyst, Communications, IDC CEMA

I recently spent a rewarding day judging the Mobile Money for the Unbanked category for the GSMA Awards to be announced at the Mobile World Congress in February. Although honor bound not to discuss the finalists until the winners are announced on February 16, I can say that I was impressed anew with the power of mobile as a channel for services, over and above its vital role in communication.

Across the developing world, mobile networks are bringing basic financial capabilities to people with no credit, no cash savings, and in some cases no verifiable, unique tokens of identity. Most notably in Africa and the Subcontinent, mobile payments are increasing asset liquidity and fungibility – especially in rural areas – and bringing thousands of new participants into financial networks, which in turn should eventually increase the average level of wealth.

From an African perspective, the twin giants of Vodafone and Zain would seem to dominate mobile payments. But as the entries showed, there are still enough differences of approach as well as unserved populations and use cases that the market for mobile finance is by no means saturated. And hopefully the maturation of these services in the crucible of developing markets – where literacy is low, bank accounts a rarity, and handsets often capable only of 2G voice and SMS – can influence the usability and spread of mobile financial services in developing markets as well.

IDC will be publishing a detailed report on mobile payments in MEA later in 2010; what follows are some of the overarching issues that inform our interviews with service providers and financial clearinghouses.
  1. The mobile phone is a token of identity. To customers in the developed world, the idea of the mobile phone as a financial terminal can be a scary one: people lose their phones, have them stolen, or break them; how much information and access to your money do you want to have on that device? But customers with no government ID are happy to have a personal device that enables them to send payments, and governments like mobile money because it helps them regulate financial transactions and move their countries away from traditional, undocumented financial networks. In Afghanistan, for example, police now receive their salaries via mobile phone transfer rather than through a series of middlemen who each took a cut. Some police employees only learned how much they were supposed to be making once mobile transfers began.
  2. Simple technology can accomplish great things with the right service design. A time-tested way to go broke in mobile technology is to try to duplicate Japanese services elsewhere. Despite the Japanese embrace of near field communication, mobile phone wallets are still in the proof of concept page in most of the rest of the world. Compare that limited uptake with the millions of developing world mobile users who use simple services like SMS and cell broadcast. While developed world financial regulations are often more strict, service designers should still look at emerging market services to see what design principles they can borrow.
  3. Mobile payments may not be a profit center. Safaricom Kenya’s M-Pesa was unprofitable for months after it became an internationally remarked success, and may not bring in much marginal revenue even today. But successful mobile payment networks can greatly deter churn, and train whole generations to think of the mobile phone as a service platform.
  4. Partnering with banks can help mobile payments, but also weigh them down. Traditional banks and financial services platforms are trying hard to insert themselves into the mobile payment chain, and some mobile SPs are getting quasi-bank certifications. But even if local regulators require a banking relationship, study closely whether the traditional trappings of a bank account – from bank card to account number – will help or hinder uptake of your service. If regulators view your mobile service as a stepping stone to a traditional banking relationship, how will you be rewarded for bringing customers into that system?
We are planning our mobile payments research now. Clients who are interested in our upcoming report or mobile payments providers based in CEMA can contact me at ahicks@idc.com to inquire about our research or suggest an interview.

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IDC CEMA Telecommunications Newsletter

 
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IDC CEMA Telecommunications Newsletter